Kenya : Kenya eyes huge bond issue for economic turnaround
on 2013/10/9 13:15:41
Kenya

Kenya hopes to raise close to $1.5 billion (1.1 billion euros) in an ambitious international bond issue aimed at revamping crumbling colonial-era infrastructure and accelerating East Africa's largest economy.

The hunt for liquidity from the global capital markets is central to government efforts to close an unhappy chapter marked by political instability, drought and the fall-out from the international financial crisis that conspired to push economic growth down to 1.5 percent.

Kenya's economy has since recovered from the 2007-2008 election-related violence, and is expected to expand 5.6 percent in 2013. The government has now set its sights on double-digit growth within five years and middle-income status by 2030.

"We are optimistic the issuance will be overly subscribed," Haron Sirima, deputy governor of Kenya's Central Bank said last week on the sidelines of a International Monetary Fund conference on Kenya's economic prospects.

The bond issue, planned for late November, would be the largest debut by a sub-Saharan African nation, and follows successful moves by Ghana, Rwanda and Zambia.

"African countries are taking advantage of these historically low rates," said Kitili Mbathi, managing director for CfC Stanbic Holdings.

Carmen Altenkirch, an analyst for Fitch Ratings, said African nations also wanted to tap into renewed investor interest in Africa.

What started out as interest in natural resources "...over the past five years, this had muted also into Africa's financial assets," she said.

Antoinette Monsio Sayeh, Africa director at the International Monetary Fund, said she understood that the cash raised would go to paying off more expensive debt and "addressing infrastructure challenges".

Kenya's main port of Mombasa, congested roads and century-old railway link -- which dates back to a time when Nairobi was little more than a railway depot -- are all major bottlenecks to trade.

"We think Kenya is in a very good place," Sayeh told reporters, describing investors as "very gung-ho on Kenya these days".

She praised Kenya's "sound monetary and fiscal policies" including steps to bring inflation down from 14 percent in 2011 to around 5 percent this year.

In a keynote speech, Kenyan President Uhuru Kenyatta admitted that a timid reduction in poverty rates, from 52 percent in 1997 to 46 percent in 2006, was "neither satisfactory nor compatible with our stated aim to become a middle-income country by 2030."

He also said he wanted to see Kenya undergo an "industrial revolution to power our ambition of becoming a middle income country by 2030" -- a formidable challenge for a mostly agrarian economy with a burgeoning youth population.

Increased scrutiny

At the Nairobi conference, which carried the optimistic title 'Ready for Take Off', there was nevertheless some cautious sentiment.

The meeting coincided with the second week of the trial of Kenya's Vice President William Ruto, who is accused of masterminding some of the 2007-2008 ethnic unrest that left at least 1,100 dead and more than 600,000 homeless.

President Kenyatta is also facing charges of stoking the violence, and his own trial begins at the Hague-based International Criminal Court on November 12. He also denies the accusations.

The IMF's Sayeh asserted that both politicians were cooperating with the ICC and that investors did not appear to have been put off.

However, a Western source said the ICC trials added "a degree of political instability" to Kenya's outlook -- especially if either takes the course of non-cooperation and arrest warrants are issued.

Sayeh said Kenya's fiscal conduct "will be more closely scrutinised", noting that the conditions of its other fresh debt -- $5 billion of infrastructure deals with China signed last month -- would also have to be examined.

"It will be very important to continue the efforts on the fiscal side that are underway to have a medium-term fiscal policy that is seen to be well crafted," she said. "Kenya will have to continue to be prudent over what it borrows and what it borrows for."

Charles Robertson, global chief economist at Renaissance Capital and an emerging markets specialist, warned that banks, which get paid to organise bond placements, encourage Kenya to borrow too much.

"The risk is that they borrow too much, that the budget deficit, the current account deficit get too large and that the economy overheats."

Previous article - Next article Printer Friendly Page Send this Story to a Friend Create a PDF from the article


Other articles
2023/7/22 16:36:35 - Uncertainty looms as negotiations on the US-Kenya trade agreement proceeds without a timetable
2023/7/22 14:48:23 - 40 More Countries Want to Join BRICS, Says South Africa
2023/7/18 14:25:04 - South Africa’s Putin problem just got a lot more messy
2023/7/18 14:17:58 - Too Much Noise Over Russia’s Influence In Africa – OpEd
2023/7/18 12:15:08 - Lagos now most expensive state in Nigeria
2023/7/18 11:43:40 - Nigeria Customs Intercepts Arms, Ammunition From US
2023/7/17 17:07:56 - Minister Eli Cohen: Nairobi visit has regional and strategic importance
2023/7/17 17:01:56 - Ruto Outlines Roadmap for Africa to Rival First World Countries
2023/7/17 16:47:30 - African heads of state arrive in Kenya for key meeting
2023/7/12 16:51:54 - Kenya, Iran sign five MoUs as Ruto rolls out red carpet for Raisi
2023/7/12 16:46:35 - Ambassador-at-Large for Global Women’s Issues Gupta Travels to Kenya and Rwanda
2023/7/2 15:57:52 - We Will Protect Water Catchments
2023/7/2 15:53:49 - Kenya records slight improvement in global peace ranking
2023/7/2 14:33:37 - South Sudan, South Africa forge joint efforts for peace in Sudan
2023/7/2 13:08:02 - Tinubu Ready To Assume Leadership Role In Africa
2023/7/2 11:50:34 - CDP ranks Nigeria, others low in zero-emission race
2023/6/19 16:30:00 - South Africa's Ramaphosa tells Putin Ukraine war must end
2023/6/17 16:30:20 - World Bank approves Sh45bn for Kenya Urban Programme
2023/6/17 16:25:47 - Sudan's military govt rejects Kenyan President Ruto as chief peace negotiatorThe Sudanese military government of Abdel Fattah al-Burhan has rejected Kenyan President William Ruto's leadership of the "Troika on Sudan."
2023/6/17 16:21:15 - Kenya Sells Record 2.2m Tonnes of Carbon Credits to Saudi Firms

The comments are owned by the author. We aren't responsible for their content.